The news tells you what happened. We tell you what's next.
Over $20 billion flows through prediction markets every month. Real money, real stakes, real conviction. We turn the most interesting data, trends, and money flows from Kalshi and Polymarket into a 4-minute briefing, three times a week.
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What you get every issue
Three sections. Four minutes. Everything that moved.
One prediction market price that tells the story right now
Every issue, one prediction market contract that tells you more than a dozen analyst reports. The price, the move, and what it means for your week.
Biggest prediction market swings, decoded
The biggest movers on Kalshi and Polymarket — and the real-world news driving them. No noise. Just the contracts that moved since the last issue.
Under-the-radar prediction market contracts
One under-the-radar contract quietly attracting money. Low volume, high signal. The kind of thing that becomes tomorrow's headline.
The Federal Reserve found that prediction markets outperform professional forecasters on CPI, unemployment, and rate decisions
Federal Reserve Study — The signal is real. We just make it readable.
Why prediction markets?
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket aggregate thousands of real-money bets into a single probability. When someone stakes real dollars on an outcome, the noise disappears. What's left is the closest thing to a consensus forecast that exists.
Fortune 500 executives, hedge funds, and policymakers already watch these numbers. Combined monthly trading volume reached roughly $24 billion in early 2026, per Pew Research Center. The Crowd Knows makes that intelligence accessible to everyone — free, 3x a week, no jargon.
Stop reading yesterday's news
4 minutes. Mon, Wed & Fri. The signal the crowd already sees.